GEO shares expected to outperform in the next 12 months

Jaxson Clark

Investors can speculate about the future of a stock by watching how its insiders buy and sell stocks. Geo Group, Inc shares valued at $670,929 were sold by ZOLEY GEORGE C on Sep 10 ’25. At $21.52 per share, ZOLEY GEORGE C sold 31,176 shares. The insider’s holdings dropped to 3,850,904 shares worth approximately $68.89 million following the completion of this transaction.

Also, ZOLEY GEORGE C sold 31,176 shares, netting a total of over 639,794 in proceeds. Following the sale of shares at $20.52 each, the insider now holds 3,882,080 shares.

Before that, ZOLEY GEORGE C had sold 31,176 shares from its account. In a trade valued at $639,345, the Executive Chairman traded Geo Group, Inc shares for $20.51 each. Upon closing the transaction, the insider’s holdings decreased to 31,176 shares, worth approximately $70.01 million.

As published in a research note from Noble Capital Markets on March 05, 2025, Geo Group, Inc [GEO] has been rated up from a Market perform to an Outperform and the price target has been revised to $32. Analysts at Noble Capital Markets downgraded the stock from ‘”an Outperform”‘ to ‘”a Market perform”‘ outlook in a report released in mid November. As of October 02, 2023, Northland Capital has initiated its “an Outperform” rating for GEO. Earlier on November 29, 2022, Wedbush upgraded its rating. Their new recommendation was “an Outperform” for GEO stock which previously was a “a Neutral”.

Analyzing GEO Stock Performance

On last trading session, Geo Group, Inc [NYSE: GEO] rose 0.79% to $17.89. The stock’s lowest price that day was $17.47, but it reached a high of $17.97 in the same session. During the last five days, there has been a surge of approximately 4.25%. Over the course of the year, Geo Group, Inc shares have dropped approximately -49.39%.

Is Geo Group, Inc subject to short interest?

Stocks of Geo Group, Inc saw a sharp rise in short interest on 2025-12-31 jumping by 0.43 million shares to 9.5 million. Data from Yahoo Finance shows that the short interest on 2025-11-28 was 9.07 million shares. A jump of 4.57% in short interest reflects a negative sentiment towards the stock. Despite the fact that short shares comprise just 5.26 of the overall float, the days-to-cover ratio (short ratio) jumped to 5.26.

Which companies own the most shares of Geo Group, Inc (GEO)?

In terms of Geo Group, Inc share price expectations, FactSet research, analysts set an average price target of 24.5 in the next 12 months, up nearly 38.03% from the previous closing price of $17.75. Analysts anticipate Geo Group, Inc stock to reach 35 by 2026, with the lowest price target being 14. In spite of this, 16 analysts ranked Geo Group, Inc stock as Buy at the end of 2026. On June 08, 2021, Wedbush assigned a price target of “a Neutral” to the stock and initiated coverage with a $7.

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