Volatility Is Your Friend: Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) Is Hot Again


Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (NYSE:VLN) does about 536.27K shares in volume on a normal day but saw 486470 shares change hands in Friday trading. The company now has a market cap of 484.66M USD. Its current market price is $4.70, marking a decrease of -0.63% compared to the previous close of $4.73. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $7.08 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $2.71. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $4.7644 and a low of $4.60.

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Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) has a 20-day trading average at $5.24 and the current price is -33.62% off the 52-week high compared with 73.43% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $5.11 and its 200-day simple moving average is $4.11. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 5.16%, which increases to 6.11% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 39.68 to suggest the stock is neutral.

5 analysts observing the Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $6.00 and $13.00. The consensus objective for the share price is $8.80, suggesting that the stock has a potential upside of 46.59% over the period. The median price target is 41.25% away from the current levels at $8.00.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 5 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 0 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 0 advise that it is a overweight. 5 analysts have rated it as a buy and 0 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Buy and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Strong Buy the stock.

The company shares received a number of brokerage firm price updates over the past month, with the latest being on November 23, 2021 when Chardan Capital Markets initiated the stock to “Buy” and issued a price target of $13. Oppenheimer initiated its price target at $12.

The current price level is -11.14%, -8.24%, and 14.48% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the VLN price moving above the 50-day SMA on February 17. Valens Semiconductor Ltd. (VLN) stock is down -3.49% over the week and -13.60% over the past month. Its price is -12.48% year-to-date and -32.47% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 9/29/2022, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.02 above consensus estimates by $0.06. The company’s next earnings report is expected on 05/10/2023, with forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at -$0.11 and -$0.23 for whole year. VLN’s earnings per share are forecast to grow by 62.90% this year and 21.70% over next year. Expected sales for next quarter are $23.88 million, which analysts say will come at $90.39 million for the current fiscal year and next year at $112.01 million. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $23.15 million.

Its 12-month price target is $8.00. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to grow 46.59 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $6.00, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $13.00.

Outstanding shares total 99.44M with insiders holding 10.42% of the shares and institutional holders owning 43.41% of the company’s common stock. The company has a return on investment of -15.10% and return on equity of -31.10%. Price to book ratio is 2.69 and price to sales ratio is 5.78.


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